The following article appears today in the Dutch daily Friesch Dagblad.
Next week the umpteenth conference for peace in the Middle East will take place, this time in Annapolis. By coincidence this week Egyptian President Anwar Sadat’s visit to Jeruzalem – 30 years ago, the first official visit to Israel by an Arab leader – was commemorated. That visit led to talks between Israeli and Egyptian teams in Camp David, which after almost two weeks of dramatic negotiations resulted in a peace treaty between Egypt and Israel. Annapolis is the capital of Maryland, the same state where Camp David is located, but I doubt whether the names Annapolis and Camp David will have the same weight in the history of the Middle East.
The aim of the conference, organized by President George W. Bush, is to issue a document which – more or less based on the almost forgotten “route map for peace” that was issued by Bush five years ago, with the support of the European Union, Russia and the United Nations – eventually must become the key to a Palestinian state and an end to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. One of the main reasons why that goal will almost certainly not be reached is the very weak position of the three main participants in the meeting: the American President, the Palestinian President Abu-Mazen and the Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert. Not one of them enjoys any real and heartfelt support and confidence among a majority of his people.
The most important difference between Camp David 1978 and Annapolis 2007, in addition to the presence of the Palestinians, is the host. I am definitely no fan of Jimmy Carter, and I have serious objections against much of what he has written and said about Israel in recent years. Still, it goes without saying that the man won his spurs in the history of Israel with his role in the genesis of the Camp David accords. From the start of his presidency peace in the Middle-East was one of his priorities. Without the courage and the initiative of Sadat nothing might have happened, but without the personal involvement of the American President in the negotiations between Israel and Egypt Sadat and Begin would not have become the historical figures that they are today. At crucial moments during the talks Carter’s intransigence was the deciding factor.
I am not exactly a Bush-basher, partly because for many Bush-bashers Bush is simply a synonym for America, but I believe that of all the areas in which the man failed the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is one of his biggest failures. From 2000 onwards he let Israelis and Palestinians muddle on on their own. Some Israelis have called Bush jr. the most Israel-friendly president ever. I think that a real friend would have showed much more involvement. Before the invasion of Iraq – which I supported hesitantly, partly as a result of an instinctive consideration: “Look who opposes it!” – I wrote in an article for the Dutch daily Trouw that Bush and his government should have spent the period after the fall of the Taliban on thinking out and selling a comprehensive development program and peace plan for the Middle East, rather than on disseminating the “Baghdad delenda est” mantra. It is obvious that such a program and plan never existed. Annapolis is a nice photo op to conclude eight lost years, but it is mainly a matter of way too little much too late.
So, is the whole Annapolis circus pointless? No, it would be too harsh to say that. Every opportunity that is seized to show that Israeli and Arab officials and political leaders can talk and negotiate more or less on the basis of equality already is an achievement. In that respect men like Anwar Sadat, King Hussein, Menachem Begin and Yitzhak Rabin gave a brave and fruitful example. In Israel most people are very cynical about the purpose and the outcome of Annapolis. Yet the only ones who utterly oppose the conference are the fanatics, they declare loud and clear that the conference is a sell-out of Israel’s interests. Just like at previous occasions extremists on both sides of the conflict are interested in a complete failure of this peace conference. The Palestinian terrorists and their Iranian and other puppet masters keep their end up. In their eyes Abu Mazen is a traitor, and the number of attempted terror attacks has risen once again in the last couple of weeks. After all, terror leads to Israeli reactions, which make it impossible for Abu Mazen to fulfil his promises and which make Hamas once more attractive – or less unattractive – as an alternative. Israeli politicians such as Binyamin Nethanyahu and the ultra-rightwing minister Lieberman almost appear to be pleased to prove that they have been right all along: here you go, giving in only leads to ( more ) terror. When you look at all those who are trying very hard to turn Annapolis into a failure you would almost hope that Ehud Olmert is right when he says that the mere fact that the conference takes place already turns it into a success and a victory.