An Imminent Attack Against Iran?
James S. Robbins looks at reports for National Review Online that appeared in the Dutch newspaper the Telegraaf about the infiltration of Iran’s nuclear program by agents of the Dutch secret service and a possible planned U.S. attack against Iran in order to prevent the Mullahs from developing nuclear weapons.
Robbins conclusion: “I have no idea whether any of these reports of imminent action are true. But as the various clocks keep ticking, the strategic logic of active counter-proliferation against Iran becomes more compelling. The U.S. may act, Israel may act, or not. We will know soon enough, one way or the other.”
Although the U.S. favors diplomacy at this point in time, it is difficult if not impossible to imagine that Bush et al. will allow the Iranians to develop nuclear weapons. It is crystal clear that the country’s nuclear program is not aimed at developing nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, which should and does concern the entire West (Israel included).
Since the U.S. have been most vocal on this issue and have the strongest military, it seems likely that it will act militarily against Iran before it has a nuclear weapon. Then again, if it does not Israel certain will, for the threat posed by a nuclear Iran is not merely indirect for them, but direct.
Attack on Iran = electoral suicide.
Not until after November, unless the Iranians do something very drastic.