Comments on: Problems On the Horizon

By: jacksmith

jacksmith — Thu, 27 Mar 2008 05:38:26 +0000

[admin]: Spamming is not permitted. Spamming using the same text on the same blog repeatedly is additionally silly. You’ve been warned before, next time means ban.

By: C Stanley

C Stanley — Wed, 26 Mar 2008 15:48:03 +0000

Give it a week after there is a decided nominee and these numbers will have changed.

Perhaps, Claudia, but the longer the fight goes on and nastier the attacks get, the more entrenched the opinions become.

And given that the nominee may not be decided until the convention, and the convention schedule is really late this year, there won’t be that many weeks for the reconciliation to take place.

This is exactly why the GOP has always favored a process that would come to a conclusion sooner- by having winner take all states, to tip the balance toward a frontrunner more quickly. It just makes sense.

By: Claudia

Claudia — Wed, 26 Mar 2008 15:36:30 +0000

Well leaving aside that your analysis is very deeply colored by your opposition to Obama, I would like to mention that this statistic is likely utter hogwash.

The primary fight has gone way too long and people are getting cranky. Right now Obama supporters aren’t angry at McCain, they’re angry at the one attacking their candidate; Clinton. Clinton supporters are the same. Give it a week after there is a decided nominee and these numbers will have changed. Plenty of the primary voters have virtually no clue what McCain proposes or what he’s like, because they aren’t yet paying attention. This is just like people whining that they were going to move to Canada if Bush got reelected. It’s an empty threat. Oh sure some people might cross over, but most won’t.

It’s just the same as when so many Republican primary voters threatened to not back the GOP if their candidate lost. Where are those voices now? They are empty threats.