Way Things are Shaping Up . . .

January 30th, 2008 By: amba | Tags:

. . . if there’s another terrorist attack, Republicans will win in November. If not, and the economy continues to sag, Democrats will win.

Which means nobody really wants things to go well, eh?

Cross-posted at AmbivaBlog

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  1. casualobserver
    January 30th, 2008 at 18:31
    Reply | Quote | #1

    OK, you heard it here first………January 30th.

    After 5 years of being pelted by the media on Iraq, the non-polar voter will gladly continue to push that out of front and center. So, yes, renewed fear of terrorism will aid the R candidate, but actually I see it fading overall as an issue except to Markos Moulitsas’ readers.

    And while the media cannot hype the "recession" enough to please their desire for reporting calamity, the underlying economic fundamentals will continue to hold on (and/or actually improve) to November and the old "it’s the economy stupid" won’t be a massively effective vote driver either.

  2. C Stanley
    January 30th, 2008 at 18:34
    Reply | Quote | #2

    And while the media cannot hype the "recession" enough to please their desire for reporting calamity, the underlying economic fundamentals will continue to hold on (and/or actually improve) to November and the old "it’s the economy stupid" won’t be a massively effective vote driver either.

    I don’t know about that, unfortunately. It seems that the public has become convinced that the economy really is tanking even when it’s not. Even when there was decent economic growth, people who reported that their own situation was better than it had been in the past but they all still assumed that everyone else was in dire straits.

  3. Tap
    January 30th, 2008 at 19:12
    Reply | Quote | #3

    That’s exactly right Christine. And you can count on the Media portraying it the way they want to, regardless of reality. 

    A few years back I read something on a website (it’s been so long that I don’t remember who or where I read it) that went to a lot of trouble to point out the media’s spin on economics. 

    They quoted  and compared what the media had to say about economic indicators that were virtually identical but took place in either the Clinton or Bush administration. For example, if there was 5% unemployment, during Clinton’s years this was considered goood news, but during the Bush years it was presented as bad news, forboding terrible things to come.

    This can have a huge effect on how the public views the economy regardless of their personal circumstances.

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