Mittmentum!

January 7th, 2008 By: Michael van der Galien | Tags:

During yesterday’s debate, Mitt Romney did incredibly well. It looks like Mitt Romney finally did what he had to do and may make a comeback in New Hampshire.

During yesterday’s debate, Governor Mitt Romney finally did what he had to do: he presented himself well, he was articulate and… beyond all else, everything indicates that undecided New Hampshire Republicans / voters were greatly impressed by his performance. To start it off, watch some of the videos below:

Huckabee stumbles on taxes, Romney strikes (via Hot Air):

YouTube Preview Image

The problem with Huckabee’s populism exposed (or as Allahpundit puts it: “You can’t have wage earners without wage payers. That used to be basic Republican doctrine, but once again it’s Huckabee whose rhetoric cuts against it in a way that would be more at home on the other side of the political aisle”):

YouTube Preview Image

“Mike, you make up facts faster than you talk, and that says something.” Great line. Yeah it’s a personal attack, but he said it in a non-nasty way. And heck: I am biased.

Now watch this youtube video:

YouTube Preview Image

If New Hampshire voters watched the debate, one gets the impression that Romney might do better tomorrow than many of his supporters - including myself - feared. He has to do well in the Granite State. A close second would put his campaign on life support, but it wouldn’t be dead. A crushing defeat would basically put Romney’s campaign into a coma… A win would create momentum for him, probably result in a win in Michigan as well and he would be able to do well, possibly even win, in Florida. What more: he would have done what’s necessary to compete on Super Tuesday. Combine those wins with his money and suddenly fiscal and traditional conservatives are likely to rally behind him.

The question is of course whether New Hampshire Independents watched the debate and whether they’re open to supporting Romney. We’ll find out soon, but we can be sure about two things: Romney didn’t hurt his chances yesterday, and it’ll be close tomorrow.

One thing I was thinking about yesterday: if Romney loses in New Hampshire, traditional conservatives have a problem. The only candidate they can then passionately support is Fred Thompson. If he drops out - after losing in South Carolina for instance - they’ll have no one. For them, it’ll then be a choice between a bad and least bad candidate.

And that’s your horse race news for today, now back to the issues.

With regards to the issues, Romney presented his case very well. He made clear what he believes and what he would do as president. His solutions are, basically, Republicans or conservative solutions. Especially his views on fiscal policy should appeal to many conservative voters. Huckabee’s populism, it has to be said, sounds like what John Edwards is saying (and all the other Democrats for that matter). His solution to every problem is: more government, not less. Romney, on the other hand, made very clear in the debate that, at least according to his government philosophy and his experience in the real world where he was once a successful businessman, more government won’t do the trick: it’s less government and you need the wage payer.

Whether populists like it or not, wage earners aren’t anywhere without wage payers.

More at:

- Talking Points Memo

- Sister Toldjah

- Real Clear Politics

- The Corner

- Hugh Hewitt’s Townhall Blog

- Hot Air

- Power Line

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  1. C Stanley
    January 7th, 2008 at 13:44
    Reply | Quote | #1

    Funny how much perspective matters. In that first clip, my take was that Huckabee hit it out of the park and it was Mitt who was fumbling. Funny too how you felt it was terrible when McCain and Huckabee were smiling when they made jokes about Romney’s position changes (they were actually enjoying it!) but now when Romney gets in a jab at Huckabee you say it’s OK, he ‘did it in a non-nasty way.’ Glad you at least admit your bias on that.

    And what is the basis for Allahpundit’s scathing criticism? Huckabee is a bit of a populist, but he’s hardly John Edwards. He’s touting an economic platform which would help small business, which creates more jobs in this country than anything else. He’s not anti-business, in fact he is very much a ‘true conservative’ when it comes to getting the red tape out of the way for entrepreneurs. Meanwhile, how did Romney raise revenue in MA? By increasing "fees" and "closing corporate tax loopholes". It would be interesting to see how entrepreneurial groups compare the two, and whether small business in MA generally supports Romney and in AR if they support Huckabee. Unfortunately small business owners are not very well organized and it’s difficult to get a sense of who they’d endorse.

  2. Michael van der Galien
    January 7th, 2008 at 13:47
    Reply | Quote | #2

    Funny too how you felt it was terrible when McCain and Huckabee were smiling when they made jokes about Romney’s position changes (they were actually enjoying it!) but now when Romney gets in a jab at Huckabee you say it’s OK, he ‘did it in a non-nasty way.’ Glad you at least admit your bias on that.

    I am biased and are you saying that the style and situation wasn’t completely different? If so, I can honestly say that our perspectives are indeed very different.

    I have to admit that I also found it refreshing to see Romney fight back for once.

    With regards to Huckabee’s answer: interesting that you’d say that. I’m not the only one who says that he came across very weak. The tests with undecided voters say the same, and other bloggers share my view. In fact, I’d say, you’re the exception… Why’s that? ;)

    Bias, bias, bias. We all have it, don’t we?

  3. C Stanley
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:09
    Reply | Quote | #3

    The tests with undecided voters say the same, and other bloggers share my view. In fact, I’d say, you’re the exception… Why’s that?

    I was surprised by that too- my only conclusion is that Romney’s attack must have been effective. By calling Huckabee a liar, if the audience didn’t know the facts they were obviously swayed by that and thought that indeed, Huckabee must have been making things up- yet I can’t think of a single thing he said which was inaccurate there. Can you point out one single inaccuracies? He obviously didn’t want to answer the question of net tax increases, and tried to avoid it until he finally explained it (which was the one weak part of his response- he should have said right upfront why he had to raise taxes, he was forced to do it.) What he tried to do in this exchange was to say that Romney also had net tax increases, he just used spin to call them by a different name.

    Was Huckabee as effective in the rhetoric here? Probably not (and the audience reaction shows that.) But what I’m saying is that that’s a shame because when you know the facts, Romney was the one who was spinning. Do you know the truth about his ’support’ of the Bush tax cuts, for example? He told the Boston Globe that he didn’t support them but he had to keep a good relationship with Bush. Then just recently when asked about it, he said basically like Obama and Iraq war votes- that since he wasn’t a Senator, he didn’t have to go on record one way or the other. You have pointed out the duplicity in Obama’s case, and it’s the same here. Romney criticizes McCain harshly for voting against the tax cuts, but he’s not the one who had to go on record either for or against at the time. In hindsight he now says he supported it- but the Boston Globe contradicts him on that.

  4. C Stanley
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:15
    Reply | Quote | #4

    Here’s the article that refers to Romney initially opposing the Bush tax cuts:

    McCain was one of two Republican senators to vote against a $1.35 trillion tax cut that Bush proposed in 2001. McCain also voted against similar plans in 2003, as well as a proposed repeal of the federal estate tax. McCain said they disproportionately benefited the wealthy."That sounds like Ted Kennedy and John Kerry," Romney later told a house party in Tuftonboro, referring to the two liberal Democratic senators from his home state.At the time of the latter votes, Romney was in his first stint in elective office, leading Massachusetts.The Boston Globe reported that year that during a meeting in Washington with the Massachusetts congressional delegation, Romney was asked about the tax cuts and said he "won’t be a cheerleader" for proposals he did not agree with. "But I have to keep a solid relationship with the White House."Now, Romney is solidly behind the cuts, arguing they should be made permanent before they expire in 2011.A questioner at a town hall meeting Friday night in Rochester asked Romney about his apparent change of heart. The man refused to give his name, and Romney aides surrounded him afterward and accused him of being a Massachusetts Democrat who had challenged Romney about his tax record at another event.Romney said that his first public comments were in support of the tax cuts, and that he campaigned on behalf of Bush in 2004.Turning back to 2003, Romney told the man: "You see, I wasn’t a U.S. senator. I didn’t have to vote on this, didn’t get a choice to. I was running my state, so I didn’t have a comment on their position. And I said, `I’m not weighing in on federal issues.’ But Sen. McCain was a senator. He had to vote. He had to decide, `Am I in favor of pursuing these tax cuts or not,’ and he voted against the tax cuts — twice. That’s a very different position."

  5. Michael van der Galien
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:23
    Reply | Quote | #5

    He obviously didn’t want to answer the question of net tax increases, and tried to avoid it until he finally explained it (which was the one weak part of his response- he should have said right upfront why he had to raise taxes, he was forced to do it.)

    Isn’t that exactly what the problem is? He stumbled and fumbled, didn’t want to answer the question… That’s the problem.

  6. Michael van der Galien
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:28
    Reply | Quote | #6

    Um, isn’t Romney’s explanation pretty clear? I don’t see this one really. One time they say he said something negative about the cuts, but not much attention was spend to that, wasn’t it?

    And: doesn’t this newspaper endorse McCain and attack Romney quite aggressively or am I mistaken? Isn’t this a bit like quoting McCain himself?

    "Romney said that his first public comments were in support of the tax cuts, and that he campaigned on behalf of Bush in 2004."

    Isn’t that what matters? He didn’t have to vote about them, but when he took a public stance he supported them. McCain, on the other hand, didn’t.

    "And I said, `I’m not weighing in on federal issues.’ But Sen. McCain was a senator. He had to vote. He had to decide, `Am I in favor of pursuing these tax cuts or not,’ and he voted against the tax cuts — twice. That’s a very different position."

    Exactly.

  7. C Stanley
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:35
    Reply | Quote | #7

    And: doesn’t this newspaper endorse McCain and attack Romney quite aggressively or am I mistaken? Isn’t this a bit like quoting McCain himself?

    By that logic, since you’ve been posting quite negatively toward certain candidates, I suppose we should take anything you say about Romney as though it’s campaign sloganeering from Romney himself.

    Isn’t that what matters? He didn’t have to vote about them, but when he took a public stance he supported them. McCain, on the other hand, didn’t.

    You haven’t explained why you take the opposite stance than you did in the very similar situation with Obama and Clinton. Obama says that he opposed the Iraq War and criticizes Clinton for her pro-war votes. When his supporters point that out, you say that this isn’t valid because he wasn’t in the Senate so he didn’t have to put his name on a vote one way or the other. You very correctly, IMO, pointed out the difference between those issues for people who are in the Senate and those who aren’t. In that regard, it’s fine that Romney had an opinion but wasn’t in the position for his opinion to matter one way or the other- but he shouldn’t now try to turn it into a campaign attack against McCain. And he also shouldn’t lie about it by saying he never opposed the cuts or that his first public statements were to support them, when there obviously were statements made to the contrary. It may be true that the Boston Globe opposes him, but unless you are arguing that they falsified that report then Romney simply isn’t telling the truth here.

  8. Michael van der Galien
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:39
    Reply | Quote | #8

    By that logic, since you’ve been posting quite negatively toward certain candidates, I suppose we should take anything you say about Romney as though it’s campaign sloganeering from Romney himself.

    You’ve given me the impression that you’re already doing that ;)

    Romney’s public statements: really, you have proof that he publicly spoke out against Bush’s tax cuts? In his function? That’s not the impression I’m getting. In fact the Globe has one example of Romney possibly opposing the plans in 2003, but they don’t deal in any way shape or form with his defense.

    War: where have I said that Obama’s opinion on Iraq was irrelevant? Please find me the quote if you would.

  9. C Stanley
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:40
    Reply | Quote | #9

    Isn’t that exactly what the problem is? He stumbled and fumbled, didn’t want to answer the question… That’s the problem.

    Yes, I agree that was a problem for Huckabee. I felt the overall strength of his answer before Romney attacked him outweighed this, and that the facts DO mitigate his tax increases. The problem is that fiscal conservatism has been very wrongly boiled down to a litmus test about whether or not a candidate ever raised taxes- and that’s juvenile and ridiculous. Romney used that effectively against Huckabee- yet an honest exploration of how and why each man handled taxation in his respective state shows that they both have explanations for what they did. Huckabee is more honest about it at least (even if he does evade the question when it’s posed in a ‘gotcha’ format like Romney did here.) But when pushed, he explains that he had no choice but to raise some taxes because of mandates on federal programs and the court order to fix the education budget in his state. Romney, on the other hand, evades the question by using ‘fee’ as a political doublespeak instead of calling a tax a tax.

  10. C Stanley
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:44

    War: where have I said that Obama’s opinion on Iraq was irrelevant? Please find me the quote if you would.

    I didn’t say that you ever said his overall opinion on Iraq is irrelevant. You’ve criticized him for using criticism of Clinton’s Iraq War votes against her- because even though he made public speeches that implied an antiwar stance, you rightly pointed out that his votes may not have been that way if he’d actually been in the US Senate at that time.

    I’m saying that this is no different: Romney should also not use McCain’s votes against the Bush tax cuts against him (particularly since the only thing we do know about his opinion of them at the time supports the idea that he probably would have voted against them too.)

    If you really don’t remember saying that, I’ll dig through the archives.

  11. Michael van der Galien
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:47

    Ha: sure, I agree about the fee remark, but what made Huckabee go down was his answer. He should’ve answered it directly. Instead he obviously didn’t want to answer it and tried to change the subject. Not smart.

    If Romney wins in NH, by the way, we will have a Romney - Huckabee showdown. It’ll be interesting to see how that goes. Huckabee could very well win in South Carolina, then Romney could fight back in Florida…

    Etc.

    I’lll put up a video today, by the way, of Buckley explaining why people should vote for Nixon back in the day. But he said something very wise: he relativated the importance of elections ("deciding about the fate of the country… well, it’s not that important").

  12. Michael van der Galien
    January 7th, 2008 at 14:53

    No I don’t remember saying that. I’m getting the impression I’m copying the behavior of Gonzales though, which doesn’t make me happy :D ;)

    Well, although I think that’s fair to say for - if I ever said something like that - but there’s a big difference between war and tax cuts. War is much bigger, obviously. So, when I think about it now, I’d say that I’d use that because it’s such a big issue: he may have disagreed, but would he have voted against it in the Senate? My guess is no (look at the records of those who think like him on most issues). That’s of course speculation, but I find it remarkable that he acts as if this was such an easy issue: it wasn’t. So, although I don’t think that I would ever have said "completely irrelevant" - frankly, I don’t think about it like that - I do have to say that even today I think that it’s less relevant than Obama makes it look like (and lets face it, it’s not as if he knows what he’s talking about when it comes to foreign policy. Not now, let alone back then. Ah! I couldn’t refuse!)

    Now, the tax cuts well, frankly, are an entirely different thing altogether. It’s less big of an issue and therefore easier to vote on. Romney’s public stances clearly indicate that if he was in the senate he would’ve voted for them.

    Difference? Am I wrong? I don’t know, I think I make sense, but we can disagree on that I guess.

    Seriously: I don’t try to talk my way out of the situation, it’s truly that I consider the issues to be quite different.

  13. C Stanley
    January 7th, 2008 at 15:05

    Romney’s public stances clearly indicate that if he was in the senate he would’ve voted for them.

    Well, I don’t know that it is that clear- it may be so but it is debatable.

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