Iowa Caucus Results
9:00pm CST
The results appear to be stabilizing. Clinton does not appear to be likely to overtake Edwards and will probably finish third, with potentially devastating effects on her prospects to achieve the nomination. On the Republican side, the entrance polls indicate that Huckabee’s victory likely was an anti-Romney and arguably anti-Mormon vote by Christian-oriented voters who don’t even care that their candidate may be weak in the general election. This is a dangerous sign for the Republican party, as it confirms the worst suspicions of those who see the current Republican party as disturbingly theocratic. The Ron Paul revolution turned out to be a bust, with Paul’s fifth place finish far short of his supporters’ enthusiastic projections of legions of new voters. Entrance polls indicate that new voters were drawn to Obama far more than Paul.
8:35pm CST
CNN finally updated the Republican numbers after a 20 minute delay. The Giuliani surge appeared to be a statistical artifact, and Ron Paul is now solidly back in fifth place with 10% of the Republican vote.
Obama’s lead in state party delegates is now over 100.
8:29pm CST
CNN and FoxNews have called the Democratic race for Obama. Clinton remains 4 delegates behind Edwards with 73% of precincts reporting.
8:25pm CST
On CNN’s vote-counting page, Giuliani (who did not contest Iowa) has now pulled into fifth, leaving Ron Paul in sixth place.
Obama has extended his lead to 4 percentage points. Edwards and Clinton are separated by a mere 3 delegates. Late-arriving precincts from larger urban and suburban areas should extend Obama’s lead but may offer Clinton just enough additional support to overtake Edwards for second.
8:15pm CST
Most networks have called the Republican race for Huckabee, with Romney a relatively distant second. Thompson is thus far showing a respectable third, just ahead of McCain. If these results hold, look for McCain’s support to start collapsing further as Republican voters take the final decision that he is just not viable. Ron Paul is not meeting his supporters’ grandiose projections, thus far polling fifth. Paul has, however, broken through the psychologically important 10% layer.
The Democratic race is showing potential for a devastating blow to the Clinton campaign. With 50% of the precincts reporting, Clinton is polling third, jostling for second with Edwards and with Obama slowly extending a lead. If Clinton does not finish at least second, her aura of inevitability with be fatally fractured and Obama could begin to mount a drive with freight-train power. Clinton doesn’t appear to have a plan B for dealing with early failure.
PoliGazette contributor Kevin Sullivan appeared on FoxNews!









Note that Giuliani only got his % bump by taking one county @50%. Beyond that, he’s in 6% or lower numbers…
BIG RON PAUL turnout in Dubuque! Mainly Romney and Paul.
I’m very disappointed by the Ron Paul #s I’m seeing. 10% just isn’t enough of a jump over his poll #s… I was hoping for at *least* 15%. *sigh* It’s just so sad to me to see all of these people voting for that clown Huckabee. There’s just so many damn ignorant people in this country and they are so easy to control.
On the other hand I am happy Obama beat Clinton.
Nice to see Ron Paul is still showing alot better than the predictions by mainstream media. Even if the results are currently at 10% it is almost double what was predicted and highlights the fact that future results could even double that figuire. Why pretend it isnt a good showing? The future looks bright considering his support is constantly growing. Also Ron Paul financially stunned once prominent front runners such as McCain as he lost all credibility towing the neocon platform. Go Ron and we support your efforts to restore the Constitution.
Jason,
Although I can’t say that Romney being Mormon doesn’t hurt him, I will say that it isn’t surprising that populists won for both parties over party establishments. Iowa is a populist state. Now whether either can maintain this is question mark as many Iowa winners have not gone on to win.
As for Huckabee over Romney, I will say that I would much rather have a Baptist preacher than a flip-flopping Country Club Republican but that’s just me. It’s funny that old school conservatives get so scared of Huckabee because unlike Romney he actually believes what he says. Maybe you shouldn’t have gone after Religious conservatives if you never wanted them. You reap what you sow.
Also sad to see McCain not beating Thompson. But McCain wasn’t really going for Iowa anyways.
This is all around disappointing. I’ll take Romney over Huckabee, or even Thompson (Guiliani more than any, but I just don’t see it).
I am really pulling for Clinton to get the nomination. Why? Cuz I don’t think she has a chance. Obama, however, may.
Boo Iowa. I am crossing you off my map.
I would say that Iowa was 2 things, a referendum on Mitt’s negative campainging and a resounding reminder of Iowa’s populist streak
You have to remember the Iowa RNC tried to block Ron Paul from the beginning, so he was actually running as an independent in a strictly regulated caucus. We’re satisfied with 10-12%, considering Rudy is the Neo-Con’s darling boy and got 6%. Iowa church folks were apparently hoodwinked. Huckle-berry is a religious fake, being much more aligned with Freemasonry and the New World Order than true Christianity. It’s easy to spot these fakes now. There’s been one in the White House for 7 years.
Wow…just….wow. Freemasonry? I haven’t read that particular gem since I went through some of the old propaganda texts of Franco-era Spain. You a truther, paul arnold?
5th for Ron Paul? Well, that shoots my chances at a nanopod, I expected better. However, it does serve to show that there wasn’t some evil lurking conspiracy in the polling numbers….unless Paulites are willing to make the jump to claiming voter fraud enacted by the….Masons? The New World Order (doesn’t that mean the Jews?)? The smurfs?
For my part, Iowa lived up to my expectations if not to my dreams.
Throughout my life, I have never had much interest in democracy and have generally despised the cesspool politics associated with it. For this reason, I haven’t clue as to what, if anything beyond the obvious, the Iowa results mean, nor am I going to waste my time trying to figure them out or put any kind of spin on them.
On a gut level, I really like the poetic justice of Paul trouncing Giuliani so resoundingly. On the other hand, I was hoping for Dr. Paul to land a solid 3rd place in Iowa and that didn’t happen.
Over all the more politically experienced members of the Ron Paul community seem to be upbeat over the results, which is probably no real surprise. Nevertheless, I will take my cue from them and remain optimistically hopefull for a continued upward momentum.
One more, rather interesting detail just jumped out at me. Ron Paul’s donations graph today is so far 4 hours ahead of yesterday, or up by 17%. The market (money talks, bulsh*t walks) seems to be voting positive for Paul so far.
Does this mean anything? Hell, how would I know.
Paul’s 10% is 10% of the caucuses, not 10% of the popular vote. May elite pundits didn’t even expect Paul to hit double digits. Now Thompson’s showing was strong, he beat out Paul, but that was to be expected. If Paul came in third or fourth, the world would come to an end.
Lynx - The are quite a few "NWO and food stocked bunker" crowd in the Libertarians, until this is moderated, the Libertarians won’t be a viable third party. But Goldwater was made out as a similar extremist in 1964.
Now that proves how little I know about politics.
<< Paul’s 10% is 10% of the caucuses, not 10% of the popular vote. >>
I didn’t even think to realize that there is a difference and that this has significance. So what was the popular vote in this case, or is that the wrong question (further cementing my political ignorance)?
Ron Paul is passionate and supportive of our constitution. He is honest about making radical changes that will create prosperity instead of debt. The reasons we broke away from England was liberty and prosperity. Let’s not kid ourselves. Read what Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln write about currency and staying out of international conflict. Its crystal clear. We have fallen away from wisdom and now our childrens children our forever in debt. Thanks to the world wars and the central banks.
Robert E: I think Rudi’s point is that the caucus system in Iowa is much different than a primary, so it’s not a ‘popular vote’. We don’t really know what the popular vote would be, because their system doesn’t work that way. You could look at polling data to get a sense of what the popular vote would have been, I suppose, but that’s not the same as the poll of a primary election because some people will respond to a poll but might not actually be motivated to turn up at the polls.
Jason wrote in his article "The Ron Paul revolution turned out to be a bust…"
I totally disagree with that. Was I hoping for a 3rd place finish? Sure. But finishing with 10% of the vote, only 3 % short of 3rd place is no bust considering the odds stacked against him in this race.
How many other candidates have had to overcome the media bias and name-calling that he has? None. He came close to beating Thompson and McCain in a race that they have been given nothing but favorable media attention and he has been given nothing but a hard time.
Let the media spend months calling Huckabee, Giuliani, Romney, Thompson and McCain "kooks" and "un-electable" and we’ll see how high they poll. I feel like he’ll do better in New Hampshire although Obama’s strong showing will probably pull some of his Independent voters.
The media elects our presidents. It’s sad but true.
Having said that, I think the most important thing to take away from last night was the turnout of the Democratic voters. It was twice that of the Republicans. Yes, Huckabee won big, but Obama, Edwards, and Clinton EACH had twice the number of voters than he did in a state that is historically 50/50 when it comes to Dems and Repubs.
America is ready for change. They showed last night that they are not going to elect another neo-con Republican into office. If Republicans don’t wake up and get their head out of the sand then this fight is already over. That’s why I contend that Ron Paul is the only chance the Republicans have at beating the Dems in a national race. People want change, and Ron Paul is the only one of them offering it. Huckabee, Romney, Giuliani, Thompson and McCain are all Bush-clones who offer more of the status-quo, and we saw last night the people are sick of the status-quo.
If you’re a Republican you had better get behind Ron Paul or you’ll be watching Barrack Hussein Obama be sworn in a year from now. Count on it.
Some of us Republicans don’t see any need to emphasize Senator Obama’s middle name in order to oppose him. But then, Ron Paul has been happy to have the support and contributions of skinheads, racists, and bigots. I’d vote for Senator Obama long before I’d vote for Ron Paul.
Thanks Christine, that clears it up nicely for me.
Same here.
And J, what you are missing is that turnout and passion are much different in the primaries than they will be in the general. The farther the Dems swing toward dovishness, the farther the GOP will move toward the hawkish position- and you can count on national security being a big issue which will then drive up the GOTV on the GOP side. The GOP unfortunately has already given up way too much ground on economic issues (trying to become economic liberal lites); the last thing we need to do is cede ground on national security by putting up a dove/noninterventionist candidate.
Everyone has to remember that out of all the GOP canidates, Paul spent the least time in Iowa. He instead worked on building a base in Nevada and New Hampshire ect. And Huckabees win can be largely discounted because of the large evangelical presence in Iowa, who would of course highly favor him.
Everyone has to remember that out of all the GOP canidates, Paul spent the least time in Iowa
Actually that would be Giuliani.
Those of you saying you’d vote for Obama before Paul, that’s fine, you’re entitled to your opinion. I’m a life-long Republican and I’d vote for Obama before I’d vote for ANY of the Republicans other than Paul, so I guess we’re even.
But the fact is, 70% of the country is against the war. The Democrats turned out twice as many people last night as the Republicans. You say passion is different in the primaries than in the general. Perhaps, but the Dems turnout was over twice was it was just 4 years ago in the caucus. You don’t think there’s a correlation to what would happen in the general? I do.
People are passionate about this election. It’s been evident throughout this race already. The turnout for Democratic rallies have been far greater than the Republican and the money raised has been much more as well. Last night should’ve been an eye-opener for the Republicans but sadly it won’t be. They’ll stick to their guns on this "war on terrorism" until it drives them right into the ground. They’ll get exactly what they deserve.
You may not agree with Paul on all his views, but if you consider yourself a conservative Republican he is the closest thing we’ve got to that. The Republican party has lost its way. It has strayed so far from it’s core values that it shouldn’t even be considered the Republican party anymore. What happened to small government, balanced budgets, free market, no entangling alliances, etc…?
I don’t understand how someone can claim to be conservative but then trash someone who has traditional, conservative views. Ron Paul is what the Republican party has always stood for. These other guys are closer to being a liberal than a conservative. There is one person in this race who will cut the size of government and cut spending, and that is Paul. Everyone else, Repub or Dem, will continue over-spending, over-stretching, and further sinking our economy into the ground.
And lastly PatHMV, I wasn’t using Obama’s middle name as a slander, I was simply stressing that is who our President is going to be. Had Hillary won I would’ve said Hillary Rodham Clinton or whoever else. Race has no impact on my feelings whatsoever. In fact, this country electing a black man as president would do wonders for our perception in the world - I have no problem with that, and welcome that. His policies on the other hand I don’t necessarily agree with - but the positives he would bring vs another neo-con would far outweigh the negatives.
Ron Paul does not have "traditional, conservative views." It was, thankfully, Republican support which helped insure passage of the Civil Rights Act of 1964. Ron Paul opposes that, and believes it should be legal for a restaurant open to the general public to refuse to serve food to black people.
He does so, of course, not because he is a racist, but because he is a rigid ideologue with little real knowledge of history. There is a very long history in the laws of this country to regulate places of public accommodation, inns, restaurants, that sort of thing. While most such laws have historically been enacted at the state and local level, the federal civil rights act was an entirely appropriate action pursuant to the Congressional power to regulate commerce among the states. The massive, widespread racial discrimination was a significant hindrance to the ability of people of color to travel to and through certain areas of the country. Only national legislation could remedy that national problem.
But Paul doesn’t care about any of that reality, any of that history. He is a rigid, hide-bound, libertarian ideologue.
I’m all for finding a real fiscal conservative to reign in the bloated spending practiced first by the Democrats and then by the DeLay Republicans. But Paul is not that fiscal conservative.
C,
I missed this part of you post in my last response, so I wanted to address it:
You wrote: "The GOP unfortunately has already given up way too much ground on economic issues (trying to become economic liberal lites); the last thing we need to do is cede ground on national security by putting up a dove/noninterventionist candidate."
What are we ceding ground on? The Republican party’s stance has always been that of non-intervention. The Republican party is supposed to be the peace party. Republicans have always been elected to end wars, not start them.
Intervening in other countries is not helping out national security. We had troops all over the world on 9/11, did that help us from being attacked? We protected Europe and Japan better than we did New York City that day. National "defense" would be bringing our troops home to "defend" our borders, not Iraq’s. Getting our troops out of harm’s way and stop inciting the hatred for us in the Middle East is the best way to defend out national security.
Are you more secure by sitting peacefully in your home and being friendly with your neighbor, or by going over to their house bullying them around, threatening them and forcing your ways upon them? Which of those two would make them hate you more and want to attack you?
We’re trying to defeat an enemy can’t. And the reason for that is because we don’t understand what motivates them to want to kill us. They’re willing to sacrifice their life to kill us. They don’t do that because of our lifestyles, they do it because they feel threatened. You don’t kill someone because you don’t agree with how they live their life, you kill someone when you or someone you love is provoked, threatened, or attacked. Until we realize that, we will be fighting "terrorism" forever. Every last one of your civil liberties will be given up before we defeat terrorism. Once all of our freedoms are gone, what will we even have left to fight for?
"He who gives up freedom for safety deserves neither."
J: I think we’ve been here before. I fundamentally disagree with you about why we’ve been attacked or our ability to convince our enemies that we’ve changed our tune so that they’ll just leave us alone. There’s not much point in discussing it if we don’t agree on the underlying axioms.
I wasn’t using Obama’s middle name as a slander, I was simply stressing that is who our President is going to be. Had Hillary won I would’ve said Hillary Rodham Clinton or whoever else.
So in the future we can expect you to say Ronald Ernest Paul whenever you refer to other candidates by their full given names? Heh. Color me skeptical.
Pat,
I’m sorry, but you are so mistaken on Paul’s views. Go read what the Republican party’s core values are then go to http://www.ronpaul2008.com and read what Paul’s stances are. You’ll find they’re very much in line with one another.
As for his stance on the Civil Right’s Act, as you stated, Paul is not a racist. If anything he believes in more freedom for everyone than any other candidate. He doesn’t believe you have rights by being part of a group, such as blacks, gays, etc… he has stated numerous times that we have right’s given to us by our Creator, not the government.
His statement on the Civil Right’s Act was that he was opposed to it the way it was written. As written, it violates the property right’s of business owners and individuals. The federal government had no rights to do that. You "assume" you know Dr Paul’s reasoning for being against the Act. Where have you heard him say that he "believes it should be legal for a restaurant open to the general public to refuse to serve food to black people."? You haven’t and you won’t.
It had nothing to do with race, it had everything to do with the federal government over-stepping its bounds.
Tully,
You can remain skeptical all you want, I was using it in the context of him being president. As in President George W. Bush…
If you want to make something out of nothing go right ahead, but I have not, nor will I ever, make a racial comment in any of my posts. As I said, the United States electing a black president would be a great statement for this nation. I do not agree with his political stances but would vote for him before I voted for the neo-con nominee.
That’s the problem with someone trying to turn nothing into a slur. It was not so don’t even go there. If you want to debate on an issue I’m fine with that, but don’t try and paint me as something I’m not. It seems to me you’re the one uncomfortable with his name, not me. Maybe that makes you the racist? Hmm… color me skeptical.
So C, just to clear it up, you do believe we’re attacked because of our beliefs and our lifestyles and not what we do in the world?
Well clarify his stance for me, then. If the civil rights act, as written, violates the property rights of business owners and individuals, how could a law be written which would make racial discrimination in restaurants, hotels, and the workplace generally illegal without violating those property rights?
You say his opposition to the Civil Rights Act had to do with the federal government over-stepping its bounds. But if the problem with the Act is a violation of the property rights of businesses and individuals, then the states could not pass such a law, either.
Said Rep. Paul:
Rep. Paul is, in fact, saying that racial discrimination in the workplace should be legal, no matter how abhorrent he may personally find it. This is an extreme version of libertarianism, one to which I am not ready to subscribe, and one which I believe would be very damaging to our country. Certainly the interference in private business relationships is extreme in the instance of the Civil Rights Act, and it is government interference which I do not eagerly endorse, nor should it set as much of a precedent as it has for government involvement in the marketplace.
But where I part ways with Paul is his unwillingness to understand and accept that the harms caused to our country by widespread racial discrimination might ever possibly justify that kind of interference. Our country enslaved black people and then, after freeing them, engaged in a relentless course of discrimination to prevent them from improving their individual lives. This evil retarded us culturally and economically. The market proved incapable of solving the problem in any reasonable time frame. It was appropriate for federal action to be taken, and it has largely proven successful. Racial relations are in fact far better today than they were in the 1950s and 1960s, though obviously we have many problems still to resolve.
But Paul recognizes no other principles, no other values, than the protection of private property and contract rights. Those are important rights, crucial rights to be sure, but they are not the only rights, nor the only values which can and should be protected by our government. Experience teaches us that no one single ideology can successfully be followed to govern as diverse a society as ours. Paul refuses to learn from that experience.
If you want to make something out of nothing go right ahead, but I have not, nor will I ever, make a racial comment in any of my posts.
Er, J, not to be too picky, but you just made a "racial" comment in the next sentence after saying that…did you mean "racist" comments?
I simply don’t buy your explanation. George W. Bush calls himself George W. Bush, and the "W!" was even a campaign sticker. I don’t see Barack Obama putting out "Hussein!" stickers. Your use of his middle name was entirely gratuitous, as Pat pointed out. I remain skeptical. Have fun trying to color me as a racist for noting that gratuitous usage, if you wish. It won’t get you far.
More substantively, I think Pat is right on the money when he says that Paul’s positions are traditional libertarian, not a traditional conservative or Republican, despite considerable overlap between the two.
Pat,
The Civil Rights Act of 1964 did not enhance race relations or improve freedom. The forced integration increased racial tensions while diminishing individual liberties.
The Act gave the federal government power over the hiring and employee practices over every business in the country. It was a massive violation of the property rights of private property and contract. The right’s of all private property owners, even those you disagree with, should be respected otherwise we are not maintaining a free society.
You state that Congress had a right to regulate commerce among the states. I agree, but the Constitution was not written as to give the federal government regulatory power over every business that has any connection with interstate commerce, it was framed so that there would be a free trade zone among the states. The 1964 Act was a gross misinterpretation of the Constitution.
The Act not only violated the Constitution and reduced personal liberties, it also failed to achieve its goals of promoting racial harmony. Employers were forced to hire by racial quota, which have not contributed to racial harmony or advance the goal of a color-blind society. If anything, it has added to the racial tensions.
Sure, America has made great strides in the past 40 years but this is due to the changes in public attitudes and private efforts, despite, not because of, the Act of 1964.
You said that Paul is "saying that racial discrimination in the workplace should be legal, no matter how abhorrent he may personally find it. This is an extreme version of libertarianism, one to which I am not ready to subscribe, and one which I believe would be very damaging to our country."
Do you honestly think there is no racism in businesses today? It may not be "legal" but it is certainly there. It is compounded by the fact that business owners are forced to hire to meet quotas. I don’t know about you, but I’m not "less racist" because my government tells me to be. Good thing they passed that Act back in ‘64 or we’d all be still segregated and using different bathrooms…. C’mon, do you really believe that?
Actually, Tully, Paul’s positions also depart from libertarian principles in important ways. For example, Paul supports continuing to increase taxes on current workers in order to "keep the promise" for Social Security and Medicare recipients and without consideration of even moderate cost-savings features like means-testing. Meanwhile, while requiring that they pay for the current generation, he would support privatized accounts so that those paying for the current "promise" would not themselves enjoy any "promise". Such support for wealth transfer and exploitation of the young by the old is not in accord with my understanding of libertarian principles.
Paul’s rejection of immigration by those looking for jobs is also a betrayal of libertarian ideas about economic efficiency.
Anyway, I think we spend way too much time indulging the Paul supporters’ practice of seizing control of every comment thread that is attached to a topic related to the 2008 elections. We should be spending much more time discussing the views of candidates that are actually more viable than 10%. We don’t know nearly enough about either of the two current front-runners. We should be talking more about that than the views of an also-ran with a lot of overly enthusiastic supporters, eh?
Tully, drop it on the racial stuff. Your comment doesn’t even dignify a response.
As for Paul being a conservative vs a libertarian… Ron Paul is MUCH more in-line with the traditional Republican beliefs than any other candidate running today. That was my point. If I substituted the word conservative for Republican I apologize, but my point is that he is more "Republican" than the other GOP candidates.
Jason, with all due respect, without the mention of Paul in your articles the response you get to them is abysmal at best. Don’t believe me, go look at the archives and number of responses to articles.
You can stop all the talk of Paul and those "more viable than 10%" but you’re going to be talking to yourself. Ron Paul is the best thing to ever happen to your site. You may not agree with his issues, but as a writer, and moderator, on this site, you shouldn’t bite the hand that feeds you.
I feel that I should save this response because I’ve had to explain it repeatedly- so I can keep it for future reference.
I believe that the leadership of al Qaeda and other Islamist extremist groups have rationales for their attacks which are based on US actions in the mideast, but that these are mostly propaganda. Their actual reasons (which are evident in speeches to their internal audiences, in fatwas, and in other writings) bely a desire to gain the power for Islam that is currently vested in Western democracies. The followers of these Islamist leaders are often motivated by both reasons too; to some extent they do feel that the West has interfered in their affairs (and in some cases they have good reason to resent this but they also use it as a scapegoat for all of their problems), and for those who are religious fundamentalists there is also a disdain for Western culture- even to the extent that some of them don’t believe they can coexist with our cultures.
Paulites may be correct when they criticize some neocons for narrowly viewing the conflict as a clash of civilizations (without regard for the blowback effect of US interventionism) but they are incorrect because they take the polar opposite approach and belief that it’s ALL strictly a reaction to our interference. The truth is somewhere in between, but a belief that others would simply leave us alone if we pulled back is terribly misguided. The degree to which the enmity is motivated by our actions is being overestimated, and even the part of it which is related to that isn’t so easily correctable.
You’ve proved the point I made initially, J Bradford, which you at first denied point-blank. Ron Paul DOES believe that racial discrimination by private businesses should be legal. You may not like that characterization, but it is a true statement.
Beyond that, you and Paul make blanket assertions that racial tensions are higher today than pre-Civil Rights Act, with no evidence to back that up. I know black people who were teenagers and young adults in the 1960s. They couldn’t drink at certain water fountains, eat at certain restaurants. On cross country trips, they never knew when they might be pulled over by a cop and harassed, arrested, or beaten just for being in the wrong place at the wrong time. I know older white people who back in the day might well have spit on black folks, who today treat them with at least civility and politeness, serving them and dealing with them in the business world.
And yes, precisely because I see the remaining racism in this country, I do in fact believe that without the 1964 Civil Rights Act, there would indeed still be segregated facilities in some places in this country. Who has claimed that the Act eliminated racism? Certainly not I. It wasn’t intended to. One cannot force people to think a certain way. But one can require by law people to ACT a certain way. Racial discrimination was an evil, one which harmed many individuals and which harmed our society as a whole. It is entirely appropriate to use legislation to combat such harms.
Does that mean I support quotas? No. I think the imposition of quotas stems mostly from a perversion of the law as it was passed. But you and Paul don’t merely argue against excesses of the law, you don’t argue just against quotas, you argue against the entirety of the law. In this instance, that’s the approach of an extreme zealot. He’s sure not my kind of Republican. He can go join Pat Buchanan in the whacko isolationist wing of the party.
Tully, drop it on the racial stuff. Your comment doesn’t even dignify a response.
Yet you just spent a whole comment before that on the issue of Paul’s views on how the CRA was a racist act, even though it the legal effect was to outlaw racial discimination in public accomodations. Per you (" If anything, it has added to the racial tensions.") it made things worse! Being old enough to remember the times and having many black friends and acquantances who are even older, I beg to differ.
Seems to me that you just want to dodge the point that the gratutious use of Obama’s middle name is a <i>de facto</i> appeal to ethnic prejudices, regardless of motivations. BTW–"Rodham" is not Hillary Clinton’s middle name. That would be "Diane."
C,
Just to be clear, I wasn’t asking that to be facetious, it has just been awhile since you and I discussed this and I couldn’t remember your exact stance on the issue.
And just so you know where I stand on it, unlike most "Paulites" I don’t believe it is entirely a reactionary response, but I do believe that we contribute to it. I think our presence incites hatred for us. If we don’t have to be there, why are we there?
I dont believe the war in Iraq is protecting our safety. I believe it is helping AQ recruit more and more people. Do I think pulling out will end the hatred for us? No. But I believe we should do everything in our power to alleviate some of the hatred and causes for the hatred.
What we’re doing now is not working. Why not pull our forces out and see what happens? No one is going to attack us militarily, we are too strong. But you and I can argue this until we’re blue in the face and we won’t know who’s right or wrong. My opinion is that we’ve been over there for 50 years and it’s obviously causing grief for us and them, why not try a different approach and see the repercussions? I fully believe if we’re not there then the incentive to attack us will be lessened - not gone, but lessened - thereby making us safer.
Tully, I didn’t bring up the CRA - just responding to a question thank you. And I never said it was a racist act, stop putting words I never said into my mouth. I don’t believe the government forcing people to integrate and forcing equal rights creates racial harmony. Does that make me a racist? No. Should black people have equal rights. Yes, but not because they’re black, it’s because they are people.
I think ALL individuals are equal. That means you have a right as a person, not as a black person, not as a gay person, not as a white person, but as a person created by God. Being black shouldn’t give you anymore rights than being a woman or having blonde hair. It’s when you lump people into groups that you create division and tension. And when you force that on people is when you create even more problems.
Exactly, Pat. That part of the imposed solution is not without its own objectionable qualities does not mean it has had the opposite effect of its intent. The insistence that all approaches to such problems be magic wands that produce instant Kumbaya-singing with no backlash is more than a trifle unrealistic.
As a point of factual history, I would like to point out that affirmative action was NOT brought on us by the CRA. It sprang primarily from Executive Order 10479 (Eisenhower ( 1953), Executive Order 10925 (Kennedy, 1961) and Executive Orders 11246 & 11375 (Johnson, 1965).
But factual history has never been a strong point of campaign rhetoric.
You don’t make that decision without being reasonably sure that ‘what happens’ won’t be worse than it is if you don’t pull out, and you certainly don’t make it when you finally are having some success (even if it’s only tenuous success.)
And frankly, if we can pull this off, I think the type of presence we’ll then have there to maintain the balance of power will be far less noxious for the people of that region than our past policies of propping up dictators- so that’s why I felt that removing Saddam was the right thing to do.
Yet the CRA did not do what you (and Paul) say it did, J. See above. The objections as to Consitutionality relates to the CRA being based on the Commerce Clause, but SCOTUS has taken the wind out of the sails of that argument. It’s not unconstitutional, whatever you or Ron Paul may believe.
I’m not sure how you can say we’re having "success"? Because the so-called surge is working? Working towards what, we are in the middle of a civil war that we have no business being in. They don’t want us there. We are fighting a war for oil. I’m sorry, but it’s not to protect our safety, it’s about money and oil. Our soldiers deserve better than that.We pulled out of Vietnam when they said it would be a disaster, look at that country now. Was it bad immediately afterwards? Yes. Would Iraq be? Yes. But we made it that way. We have to deal with the repercussions. We can either face them now, or face them after we’ve lost another 60,000 men. We are doing nothing but trying to save face over there now.
But J Bradford, you also believe that people have an absolute right to discriminate on the basis of race, a right which must not be infringed upon by the government, indeed a right which you think CANNOT be infringed upon by the government under our Constitution. You think black people should have equal rights, but you are willing to allow your fellow citizens to deny them those rights in their business dealings with them.
The problem is that as a matter of reality, black people did NOT have equal rights prior to the Civil Rights Act. That the discrimination was "private" rather than by the government does not change that simple reality. If I have a right to travel across state lines, but I cannot in fact manage to eat or obtain water while doing so, then my right does not functionally exist.
Certainly being black shouldn’t give you any more or any less rights than being white. And one of the downsides of the Civil Rights Act is that in some cases, as a practical matter, it is harder to fire an incompetent black employee than an incompetent white employee, because the latter has absolutely zero potential legal claim, while the former has at least some slight potential legal claim. But in practice, it is a very stupid employer who can’t document incompetence and document equal standards being imposed on all employees, black or white. It’s not that big a problem.
But the existence of downsides, as Tully notes, does not invalidate a solution. Almost all solutions to all problems have downsides, which is why the pros and cons of every proposed solution must be examined carefully.
Rep. Paul proposes that the 1964 Civil Rights Act should not have been enacted. You appear to claim that by today, market forces would have eliminated racial discrimination in restrooms, restaurants, hotels, and private industry generally. I think it is fair to demand that you establish, with something more than conclusory statements, that the world of Bull Connor would have ended by now without the force of law to end racial discrimination in commercial transactions.
If you are unwilling to do that, then you must admit that you believe that such a world would be better than a world in which the Civil Rights Act was adopted, that we would be a freer, better, stronger society with racial discrimination allowed in private industry.
Pat,
Where did I deny that Paul believes businesses should be legally allowed to discriminate? If I stated that it was a mistake, but I don’t believe I ever said that. If you think I did, where’s the quote.
Secondly, neither Paul, nor I, make a "blanket assertion" that racial tensions are higher today than before the CRA. I said that the tensions have lessened despite the CRA, not because of it, and if anything the CRA did nothing but create added racial tension.
There are still segregated facilities in the country today. They may not be spoken of or whatever but the racism is still prevelant. You claim the CRA should’ve been passed because it forces people to "ACT" a certain way. You can’t legislate morality, which is essentially what you’re trying to do by forcing equal treatment of people. Racial discrimination IS, not was as you pointed out, evil. It still harms our society.
Your last paragraph is also wrong. You say I, and Paul, argue against the entirety of the law. That is just inaccurate. It is the way it was written. Because of the poorly written law, it was abused, it was taken out of context from the Constitution, and that is my and Paul’s opposition to it. You’re trying to create this person that he, and I, are not. If you don’t support quotas, then you shouldn’t agree with how the Act was written either. Solving one injustice by creating another one is not the way it should be solved. Black people’s right’s were essentially put ahead of property owner’s rights.
Pat, yes I believe that we would be a better, freer society had the government not intervened in 1964 in the way that it did. "Government is essentially the negation of liberty." - Ludwig von Mises.
Anytime government gets involved YOU lose some of your rights. Can I prove that we would be a better society today if the CRA had not been enacted? Of course not, no one can.
Do I believe that the racism in this country would have subsided by now? Sure. Like I said in my last post, you can’t legislate morality. Forcing integration did not do anything alleviate racial tensions. Anytime you force something on someone there will be a negative reaction to it. We’ve made strides in the racial tensions because we wanted to make strides in them as a moral society.
If a business continued to practice segregation they would not remain in business due to the free market working as it should. You and I would not frequent them and they would have to close.
But, I’ll say it again, you cannot legislate morality.
Well, first of all, you said, in comment 28:
Glad to see you repudiate that.
As Tully pointed out, the Act didn’t create quotas. Indeed, it prohibits quotas. There is nothing particular in the way the bill was written which allows it to be misused to impose quotas.
You keep saying two different things. On the one hand, you say that Paul’s opposition to the CRA is based on "how the Act was written." At the same time, you say that the fundamental flaw of the Act was that it violates the property rights of private citizens and businesses. There is no way to write something functionally equivalent to the CRA which would not violate what you believe to be the property rights of private citizens and businesses. You don’t oppose "how the Act was written," you oppose the very principle of the Act. If the objection is simply that it is poorly written, you could provide some suggestions for ways to write it better, but which would still do the same thing. You haven’t done that, you can’t do that. You oppose what the Act did, not just how it was drafted.
The Act did limit the rights of private property owners. All laws do that to one extent or another. We prohibit you from using your privately owned gun on your own property to murder some other person, because doing so interferes with the murder victim’s own rights. We prohibit you from dumping toxic chemicals on your own privately owned land because doing so would damage common areas and property owned by others. One presumes that you and Ron Paul are not opposed to all such laws. What is so special about protecting racial discrimination that you oppose laws to restrict that, but not laws to restrict other forms of harm caused by one person to another?a
Of course we have a business being in it- we created the conditions for it by removing the dictator who had previously kept certain factions under control by brutal force and mass killings. We have every reason to now try to mediate between the factions that are attempting to fill the power void. Should we have removed Saddam, given that there weren’t the institutions in place to create a new, stable government to replace him? That’s a valid question, but at this point it’s asked in hindsight. And regardless of whether or not we should have gone in, now it’s a matter of ‘we broke, we pay’.
Oh, and defining success? Decreased violence, beginnings of grassroots governance taking hold, locals having turned against al Qaeda and other foreign instigators, some improvement in infrastructure. Don’t know yet whether it will be enough, but one sure bet is that if we pull out now then all the gains will be lost.
Again Pat, where did you hear him say he "believes it should be legal for a restaurant open to the general public to refuse to serve food to black people."?
Where have you heard those words come out of his mouth?
He believes the CRA should not have been passed as written.
If a business continued to practice segregation they would not remain in business due to the free market working as it should. You and I would not frequent them and they would have to close.
That’s demonstrably not true. Racially segregated restaurants existed and thrived for decades (I’d say centuries, but it was only decades between the abolition of slavery and the CRA) before the passage of the Act. Would you and I not eat there? I don’t know where you live, but I was born and raised in the south. If I spent my entire childhood living in a world where black people were barred from the restaurants I ate in, if I grew up eating at whites-only restaurants that my parents chose for me, I suspect I wouldn’t have too many scruples against continuing to eat there. Frankly, the very fact that you are so blind to how bad the racial discrimination used to be is a hallmark of the great success of the Civil Righths Act.
You keep making ideological claims with no evidence to back it up. Sure, there’s some backlash to being forced to do something. But are the positive effects greater than than negative effect? Michael Barone wrote a column for the Wall Street Journal about the 40th anniversary of the CRA. Here’s an observation he made:
J Bradford, if his only opposition to the Act is how it was written, then how, pray tell, could it have been written to make it illegal for private restaurants to refuse to serve black people without violating the private property rights of the restaurant owner?
Regardless of whether or not we should’ve gone in… we broke it, we pay..
So you would tell that to the mother of a soldier over there getting killed? That our incompetent leaders made a grievous error in getting us involved in a senseless war in the Middle East, but that because "we bought it", your child might have to die.
And your tax dollars are going to pay to blow up a bridge over there and rebuild a brand new one but yet we can’t fix the road where you live.
If we know we made a mistake going in, then staying there is a mistake. If you went to the doctor and he said you had something wrong with you and gave you some medicine, but you later found out he had misdiagnosed you, would you still give the same medicine, and more of it even. We’re not treating the problem by continuing to be there. The problem is that we’re there. They don’t want us there. We can’t force a democracy on them. Give them their country back. Stop the killing of our troops and hundreds of thousands of their civilians.
So which is it? Does Paul believe businesses should be legally allowed to discriminate, or does he believe that a properly written law could make such discrimination illegal? You’ve now said both things in the course of this conversation.
Pat,
I grew up, and still live in the South, so I know all too well of how things used to be, and how things still are.
You didn’t answer my question from earlier, what are you feelings on gay marriage?
Just wanted to point out that the "You can’t legislate morality" line is an exact quote from Barry Goldwater, being what he said to explain his being one of the 6 out of 33 GOP senators voting against the CRA in 1964.
By contrast and to emphasize how "traditional conservative" the CRA was considered at the time, Senate Democrats tallied up at 21 out 67 against. 18% GOP "no" vote versus 31% Dem "no" vote. In the House the final vote was 20% GOP against, and 37% Dem against.
Does that mean that the Democratic majority in Congress in 1964 was more "traditionally conservative" than the GOP minority? Wow. Who woulda thunk it?
You didn’t answer my question from earlier, what are you feelings on gay marriage?
Time to change the subject, eh?
Not trying to change the subject Tully, trying to make a point.
Are you here to provide anything of value or just instigate? Your posts wreak someone in junior high trying to stir up trouble.
Keep posting all you like, this will be the last one I acknowledge. Although I may have my differences with Pat and C Stanley, they are sincere and polite, and bring thoughtful and valuable conversation. I wish you would do the same. Thank you.
You haven’t asked me about gay marriage in this thread. Before changing the subject, why don’t you explain once for all whether you believe the law should allow for racial discrimination by private businesses. Is the problem with the concept of the CRA (legally prohibiting racial discrimination by most private businesses) or simply with it being poorly drafted? If the latter, what is the main flaw and how could it be fixed?
Just one last thing Tully, the vote against the CRA wasn’t a conservative or liberal vote - it was a constitutional vote. We need more politicians who vote solely on that and not on lobbyists or peer pressure.