McCain Could Pull Out in Autumn

Filed under: 2008 elections, John McCain — Michael van der Galien on June 25, 2007 @ 4:00 pm CEST

The Times reports that Republican consultants predict that John McCain will drop out of the race in September, if his poll numbers have not gone up by then and if his fundraising dries up (which they seem to consider a very real possibility).

Such a move would not truly surprise me - I have to say. McCain has - in my opinion - simply no real chance of winning the Republican nomination. The conservative base seems to detest him, and more moderate Republicans feel betrayed by McCain’s decision early on in he campaign, to court the conservative / even the religious right.

The last nail in his coffin was the immigration bill. Before that we had McCain-Feingold which did not make him popular among Republicans either. McCain is an honorable, respectable man, a hero even, but he is not popular enough to win the Republican nomination.

Ed Morrissey meanwhile writes that he would not bet on it. Well, I am not taking any bets either, but I do consider it to be a very real possibility. The notion that he will not drop out, because there are candidates with even less support still in the race, is a logical fallacy. McCain is in this thing to win; Tancredo, Hunter, Paul etc. have no chance whatsoever and they knew that going in. They have other goals.

McCain, however, has one goal, and one goal only: to become America’s next President. If that is impossible, it seems quite likely to me that he will quit the race well before the finishline.

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10 Comments »

  1. 1 The Populist

    June 25, 2007 @ 4:25 pm CEST

    yay! more chance for OUR side to win! :lol:

  2. 2 mvdg

    June 25, 2007 @ 4:29 pm CEST

    who is “our” side?

  3. 3 spree

    June 25, 2007 @ 4:50 pm CEST

    Good piece and although McCain might end up with no choice but to quit, unless that hapoens I believe he will continue to try.

    I also agree he is a hero, but in my mind, he is simply not strong enough on the important issues that will keep this country safe.

    As usual, your blog is great reading, but, alas, I now have to go fight a nasty little virus on my laptop (my blogging computer) and pray I don’t lose yet another laptop, they are getting expensive..hehehe

    .

  4. 4 mvdg

    June 25, 2007 @ 4:52 pm CEST

    lol, stop visiting those sites ;)
    Good luck with that though - get yourself a good program to fight it spree.

    Thanks for the compliment.

  5. 5 Interested

    June 25, 2007 @ 4:53 pm CEST

    free.grisoft.com

    download avg free

    safer-networking.org

    download spybot s&d

    ccleaner.com

    download ccleaner

    install the three - get updates on the three

    reboot into safe mode, run ccleaner
    run avg -
    run spybot s&d

  6. 6 spree

    June 25, 2007 @ 6:33 pm CEST

    Thanks I need the well wishes.

    Seriously though from your past comments I am betting you are about my sons age and yet you have an excellent analytical mind which is rare.

    So, thank YOU for your blog, it is one of my daily reads.

  7. 7 spree

    June 25, 2007 @ 6:39 pm CEST

    OH and to Interested, three of those sites I am using right now and will go to the others in a row and I thank you very much for your suggestions.

    A few more thoughts on McCain now, (back to the post), McCain, I believe, does have our country’s best interest at heart, I simply disagree with him on too many issues and I see others from the conservative blogs and Republican party do also, to be able to win a presidential election.

    What I DO appreciate about McCain is that he doesn’t walk in lockstep with his party and can think on his own, BUT, his thinking is erratic at best and I believe some of his well intended beliefs are dangerous to America as a whole, even though I believe strongly that he doesn’t think they are dangerous.

    So, as much as I like him, I cannot back his policies.

    We are a nation at war, we didn’t start it, but if we do not win it, I think we will see major attacks on our soil again.

  8. 8 Project Vote Smart

    June 25, 2007 @ 10:05 pm CEST

    For more information on Senator John McCain and his campaign for the 2008 Presidential Election, please visist: John McCain’s Project Vote Smart Page

    To stay up to date on all the candidates running in the 2008 Presidential Election, please visit: Election 2008

    For more information please visit Project Vote Smart or call our hotline at 1-888-VOTE-SMART.

  9. 9 McCain could be out of race by Fall. « Exposing The Neo-Right

    June 26, 2007 @ 12:00 am CEST

    […] DownWithTyranny!, All Spin Zone, A Chequer-Board of Nights …, Outside The Beltway, The Caucus, Michael P.F. van der Galiën, PoliBlog (TM), The Democratic Daily and Taylor […]

  10. 10 The Populist

    June 26, 2007 @ 12:01 am CEST

    who is “our” side?

    The Democrat’s of course, whom *I* support. :D (unlike you! :roll:)

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